Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 055 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled on 25 February as the recurrent high
speed stream becomes geoeffective. Expect unsettled to active
conditions with minor storm periods possible at higher latitudes on
26 and 27 February.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Feb 080 Previsto 25 Feb-27 Feb 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 24 Feb 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Feb 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb 010/015-012/020-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Feb a 27 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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