Viendo archivo del miércoles, 23 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 054 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 736 (N13W92) produced a
C2.6 flare at 23/0934Z as it rotated around the west limb. New
Regions 737 (S07W31) and 738 (S10E10) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed at ACE increased
from approximately 365 km/s to 400 km/s. The IMF Bz remained
positive through the reporting period. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 24 February. On 25 February,
expect quiet to active conditions as a recurrent high speed stream
becomes geoeffective. On 26 February, expect unsettled to active
conditions with minor storm periods possible at higher latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Feb a 26 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Feb 085 Previsto 24 Feb-26 Feb 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 23 Feb 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Feb 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 004/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Feb-26 Feb 008/012-012/015-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Feb a 26 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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