Viendo archivo del domingo, 6 marzo 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 06 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 065 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Mar 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity decreased to very low levels. Region 741 (N12E44) produced several low level B-class flares during the period. A slight decay in sunspot area was observed today. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to minor storm levels. A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream became geoeffective early in the period. Solar wind speeds increased from 380 km/s to near 650 km/s by the end of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly unsettled to active levels due to coronal hole effects. Isolated minor storm conditions are likely to occur through tomorrow (7 March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Mar a 09 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Mar 084
  Previsto   07 Mar-09 Mar  085/090/095
  Media de 90 Días        06 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Mar  008/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Mar  023/035
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar  020/025-015/020-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Mar a 09 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%30%25%
Tormenta Menor20%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%30%
Tormenta Menor30%20%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%10%05%

All times in UTC

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