Viendo archivo del lunes, 7 marzo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 07 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 066 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Mar 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was very low. New Region 742 (S05E67)
was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly active with minor and major storm
periods. Heightened activity was due to the presence of a
geoeffective high speed stream that began early on 06 March. Solar
wind speed at ACE remained elevated between 600 km/s and 700 km/s.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a possibility for periods of
minor storm levels on 08 March. On 09 March, conditions are
expected to be unsettled to active. On 10 March, conditions are
expected to be mostly unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Mar a 10 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Mar 087 Previsto 08 Mar-10 Mar 090/095/100 Media de 90 Días 07 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Mar 017/036 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Mar 023/045 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar 015/025-012/020-008/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Mar a 10 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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