Viendo archivo del viernes, 11 marzo 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 11 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 070 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Mar 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. Region 741 (N12W26) produced a C1.2 flare at 0051 UTC. Region 743 (S07E50) continues steady growth with an alpha magnetic configuration. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Regions 741 and 742 (S05E17) may produce C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 12-13 March, with possible active conditions on 14 March as a small coronal hole moves into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Mar a 14 Mar
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Mar 105
  Previsto   12 Mar-14 Mar  110/115/120
  Media de 90 Días        11 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Mar  010/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Mar  005/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Mar-14 Mar  005/005-005/005-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Mar a 14 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%25%
Tormenta Menor10%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%30%
Tormenta Menor20%20%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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