Viendo archivo del martes, 22 marzo 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 22 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 081 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Mar 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 745 (N12E43) grew from 20 millionths to 110 millionths. Region 744 (S13W26) decreased slightly in area and sunspot number.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 23 March. Expect quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods possible on 24 and 25 March.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Mar a 25 Mar
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Mar 087
  Previsto   23 Mar-25 Mar  085/085/080
  Media de 90 Días        22 Mar 098
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Mar  005/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Mar  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Mar-25 Mar  006/010-008/012-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Mar a 25 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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