Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 marzo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 24 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 083 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Mar 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 25 March. On 26
March, isolated active conditions are expected as a recurrent high
speed stream moves into geoeffective position. On 27 March,
unsettled to active conditions are expected.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Mar 087 Previsto 25 Mar-27 Mar 090/090/085 Media de 90 Días 24 Mar 098
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Mar 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Mar 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar 008/010-010/012-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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