Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 marzo 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 25 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 084 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Mar 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 745 (N12E03) produced a C1/Sf flare at 24/2344Z. This region is in a slow growth phase with minor magnetic mixing. No other significant activity was observed on the solar disk or limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to very low. An isolated C-class flare is possible from Region 745.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active with isolated minor storm periods at high latitudes. The most disturbed geomagnetic conditions followed short periods of southward IMF Bz to near -10 nT. A high speed coronal hole stream rotated into a geoeffective position over the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed began the period at just over 400 km/s, but increased to near 700 km/s by the end of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet to active levels. Minor storm periods are possible at high latitudes on 26 March. Mostly quiet to unsettled levels with just isolated active periods are expected on 27 and 28 March as the high speed solar wind stream subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Mar a 28 Mar
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Mar 082
  Previsto   26 Mar-28 Mar  080/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        25 Mar 098
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Mar  004/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Mar  010/016
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Mar-28 Mar  012/020-010/015-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Mar a 28 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%25%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo50%35%30%
Tormenta Menor25%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%

All times in UTC

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