Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 septiembre 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Sep 19 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 262 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Sep 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 808 (S11W78) continued its rapid decay phase. Just a few C-class flares occurred, the largest a C3 at 0350 UTC. One new region, Region 811 (S10E00) emerged on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The energetic electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was very high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to mildly active.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Sep a 22 Sep
Clase M20%10%10%
Clase X10%05%05%
Protón10%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Sep 091
  Previsto   20 Sep-22 Sep  085/085/080
  Media de 90 Días        19 Sep 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Sep  008/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Sep  010/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Sep-22 Sep  010/020-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Sep a 22 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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