Viendo archivo del domingo, 18 septiembre 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Sep 18 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 261 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Sep 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 808 (S11W63) continued to decay and simplify. Clouds and sensor outages made optical verification difficult, but it is likely that Region 808 produced the day's largest event, a C3 at 0433 UTC. Little else of significance occurred.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 808 may still yield an energetic event before it reaches west limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to mildly active. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Sep a 21 Sep
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X20%20%20%
Protón20%20%20%
PCAFyellow
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Sep 102
  Previsto   19 Sep-21 Sep  100/095/095
  Media de 90 Días        18 Sep 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Sep  010/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Sep  013/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Sep-21 Sep  010/010-010/020-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Sep a 21 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%40%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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