Viendo archivo del sábado, 3 diciembre 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Dec 03 2357 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 337 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Dec 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Several low level C-flares were produced by either Region 826 (S03W10) or 830 (N14E64); the largest of which was a C5.3 at 03/0737 UTC from Region 830. Region 826 has decreased in area in the central part of the spot region.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate with a chance for an isolated X-flare from Region 826.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Active conditions were due to the continued influence of a coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active. On 05 December, minor storm periods are possible due to CME activity from 02 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Dec a 06 Dec
Clase M55%50%45%
Clase X20%15%10%
Protón10%10%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Dec 101
  Previsto   04 Dec-06 Dec  100/100/095
  Media de 90 Días        03 Dec 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Dec  010/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Dec  010/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Dec-06 Dec  008/012-012/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Dec a 06 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%30%25%
Tormenta Menor10%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%35%25%
Tormenta Menor15%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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