Viendo archivo del viernes, 30 diciembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Dec 30 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 364 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Dec 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 843 (N12E15) produced a
C1 flare at 29/2106 UTC. At 29/2118 UTC, LASCO C3 imagery showed a
partial halo CME. This CME seemed to originate from an eruptive
filament located southeast of center disk. The majority of the
ejecta appeared to be directed to the southeast.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 31 December. Unsettled to
active conditions are possible on 01 and 02 January due to the
possible arrival of the CME from 29 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Dec a 02 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Dec 090 Previsto 31 Dec-02 Jan 090/085/085 Media de 90 Días 30 Dec 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Dec 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Dec 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Dec-02 Jan 005/008-010/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Dec a 02 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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