Viendo archivo del jueves, 22 diciembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Dec 22 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 356 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Dec 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. Newly number region 838
(N17E34) produced two low level C-flares. The largest of these
flares was a C3.5 flare at 22/0948 UTC. Region 839 (N19W08) was also
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Further C-flare activity is possible from Region 838.
Old Region 826 (S06, L=259) is due to rotate on the visible disk on
23 December. This region produced four M-flares during its last
rotation.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Dec a 25 Dec
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Dec 088 Previsto 23 Dec-25 Dec 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 22 Dec 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Dec 005/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Dec 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Dec-25 Dec 005/007-005/007-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Dec a 25 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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