Viendo archivo del miércoles, 18 enero 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jan 18 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 018 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jan 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was very low. New Region 848 (S18E37)
emerged quickly over the past 24 hours into a D-type group with
minor magnetic mixing. No significant changes were noted in the
remaining two sunspot regions.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from
new Region 848.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated minor
storm period between 18/0900 - 1200Z. A short period of southward
IMF Bz accounted for the storm conditions. Solar speed was slightly
enhanced, ranging between 500 - 550 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jan a 21 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jan 086 Previsto 19 Jan-21 Jan 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 18 Jan 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jan 010/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jan 010/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jan-21 Jan 010/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jan a 21 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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