Viendo archivo del sábado, 31 diciembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Dec 31 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 365 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Dec 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active conditions. On 01 and 02
January, unsettled to active conditions are possible due to CME
activity from 29 December. On 03 January, quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jan a 03 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Dec 087 Previsto 01 Jan-03 Jan 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 31 Dec 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Dec 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Dec 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jan-03 Jan 010/012-010/012-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jan a 03 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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