Viendo archivo del domingo, 22 enero 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jan 22 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 022 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jan 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels. Region 848
(S19W15) produced multiple B and C-class flares during the period,
the largest event was a C4 x-ray flare occurring at 22/1410Z. A
weak delta spot is evident near the central cluster of intermediate
spots. Region 849 (S07E44) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 848 has the potential of producing
isolated M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated
active conditions are possible on 23 and 24 January due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jan 093 Previsto 23 Jan-25 Jan 095/095/090 Media de 90 Días 22 Jan 086
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jan 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jan 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jan-25 Jan 010/012-012/015-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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