Viendo archivo del sábado, 18 febrero 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Feb 18 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 049 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Feb 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity remains at very low levels. No sunspots are visible on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Active conditions are possible on 19 February due to a favorably positioned coronal hole high speed solar wind stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Feb a 21 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Feb 079
  Previsto   19 Feb-21 Feb  080/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        18 Feb 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Feb  002/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Feb  002/003
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Feb-21 Feb  010/012-006/010-006/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Feb a 21 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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