Viendo archivo del miércoles, 3 mayo 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 May 03 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 123 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 May 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 877 (S05W41)
produced a B2 flare at 03/0035 UTC. No new regions were numbered
today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 04 May. Active to minor storm
conditions are expected on 05 - 06 May due to a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 May a 06 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 May 089 Previsto 04 May-06 May 090/090/085 Media de 90 Días 03 May 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 May 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 May 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May 005/007-015/020-025/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 May a 06 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 25% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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