Viendo archivo del jueves, 4 mayo 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 May 04 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 124 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 May 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was low. An active region on the east
limb (S10E90) produced a C1 flare at 04/1745 UTC. A very faint
partial halo CME was observed by LASCO starting at approximately
04/0131 UTC associated with a filament eruption (S33W07).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active, with a single minor storm
period at high latitudes from 1200 - 1500 UTC following a period of
sustained southward Bz.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled to active for the next three days
(05 - 07 May) with a chance for minor to major storm periods on 06
May due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream and possible
effects from today's partial halo CME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 May a 07 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 May 092 Previsto 05 May-07 May 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 04 May 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 May 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 May 007/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 May-07 May 015/020-025/030-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 May a 07 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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