Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 mayo 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 May 08 2206 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 128 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 May 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 882 (S12W45) continues in a growth phase, and increased in both area and magnetic complexity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low. There is a small chance for a C-class flare in Region 882.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods. Solar wind speed remains elevated, ranging from 500 - 550 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to major storming. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 09 May. A large recurrent coronal hole is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position on 10 May. Active periods are expected on 10 May, with minor to major storm periods possible on 11 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 May a 11 May
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 May 085
  Previsto   09 May-11 May  085/085/085
  Media de 90 Días        08 May 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 May  017/019
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 May  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May  005/008-008/012-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 May a 11 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%40%
Tormenta Menor01%05%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%10%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%30%50%
Tormenta Menor05%10%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%20%

All times in UTC

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