Viendo archivo del martes, 9 mayo 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 May 09 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 129 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 May 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. Region 882
(S12W58), the largest and most magnetically complex sunspot group on
the visible disk, exhibited no new growth and no activity of note
this period. A small B-class flare was observed in Region 883
(S04E26).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare
from Region 882.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high again this period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to major storm levels. Mostly quiet to
unsettled conditions with isolated active periods are expected on 10
May as a large, recurrent coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective
position. Active to minor storm periods are likely on 11 and 12 May,
and isolated major storm periods are possible.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 May a 12 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 May 083 Previsto 10 May-12 May 085/085/080 Media de 90 Días 09 May 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 May 005/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 May 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 May-12 May 008/012-025/030-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 May a 12 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 15% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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