Viendo archivo del sábado, 1 julio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jul 01 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 182 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Jul 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. Region 898
(S06E26) produced occasional B-class flares including a B9.8 at
01/0726Z. Region 897 (N06W12) continues to decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels with a small chance for a C-class flare from
Region 898.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with isolated unsettled periods.
Solar wind speed slowly declined, ending the period near 400 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels over the next
three days. Expect quiet conditions on 02 July. A recurrent high
speed coronal hole stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective
position on 03 July and produce occasional active to minor storm
periods on both 03 and 04 July.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Jul a 04 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Jul 086 Previsto 02 Jul-04 Jul 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 01 Jul 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Jun 007/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Jul 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul 005/005-015/020-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Jul a 04 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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