Viendo archivo del domingo, 2 julio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jul 02 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 183 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jul 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. Region 898
(S06E14) still exhibits minor magnetic complexity, and produced a
B9.3 flare at 02/0832Z. Region 897 (N06W23) continues to decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a small chance of a C-class flare from
Region 898.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed has declined to
near 380 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. A recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream is expected to rotate into a
geoeffective position late on 03 July. Expect quiet to unsettled
conditions with isolated active periods on 03 July. Occasional
active to minor storm periods are expected on 04 and 05 July.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jul a 05 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jul 087 Previsto 03 Jul-05 Jul 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 02 Jul 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jul 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jul 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul 012/020-015/020-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jul a 05 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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