Viendo archivo del lunes, 3 julio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jul 03 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 184 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jul 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 898 (S07W01)
continues to produce occasional minor B-class flare activity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a small chance for a C-class flare from
Region 898.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. A high speed
coronal hole stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective
position in the next 24 hours. Expect occasional active to minor
storm periods on 04 and 05 July. Unsettled to active periods are
likely on 06 July.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jul a 06 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jul 086 Previsto 04 Jul-06 Jul 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 03 Jul 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jul 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jul 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul 015/020-015/020-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jul a 06 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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