Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 julio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jul 09 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 190 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jul 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 898 (S06W83)
continues to be in decay. This region is due to rotate off the west
limb on 10 July.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. At approximately 09/2045 UTC, an
increase in total magnetic field, wind speed, temperature and
density was observed at the ACE spacecraft. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 10 and 11 July. On 12 July,
unsettled to active conditions are expected with the possibility of
minor storm periods due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream moving into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Jul 075 Previsto 10 Jul-12 Jul 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 09 Jul 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jul 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Jul 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 003/008-005/008-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jul a 12 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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