Viendo archivo del lunes, 10 julio 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jul 10 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 191 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jul 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. A sudden impulse
was observed at the boulder magnetometer at 09/2137 UTC with a 48 nT
deviation. This resulted in the only active period between 09/2100 -
2400 UTC. Activity was the result of CME activity from 06 July.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 11 July. On 12 July, a
recurrent coronal hole stream is expected to cause unsettled to
active conditions with minor storm periods possible. On 13 July,
conditions are expected to be mostly unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jul a 13 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jul 073 Previsto 11 Jul-13 Jul 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 10 Jul 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jul 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jul 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jul-13 Jul 005/008-015/020-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jul a 13 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 15% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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