Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 agosto 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 26 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 238 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Aug 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 905 (S08E05) produced a
C2 flare at 26/2007Z. New opposite flux emerged around the leading
sunspot resulting in increased flare potential in this reverse
polarity group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for further C-class flares from Region
905.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed ended the period
near 330 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm conditions over the next
three days. A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected
to rotate into a geoeffective position on 27 and 28 August, and
produce unsettled to active levels with isolated minor storm
periods. Quiet to unsettled conditions, with isolated active periods
are expected on 29 August. The x-ray signature of the C2 flare late
today indicates a possible CME. The flare location was near center
disk so a geomagnetic disturbance is possible on 29 August. The
forecast will be updated as appropriate to reflect this change.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Aug a 29 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Aug 076 Previsto 27 Aug-29 Aug 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 26 Aug 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Aug 000/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Aug 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug 010/012-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Aug a 29 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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