Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 agosto 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 25 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 237 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Aug 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity remains at very low levels. Region 905 (S08E20), the only sunspot group on the visible disk, produced occasional B-class x-ray enhancements, but was otherwise stable this period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 905.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high again this period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 26 August. A recurrent high speed coronal hole stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position on 27 and 28 August, and produce unsettled to active conditions with isolated minor storm periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Aug a 28 Aug
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Aug 077
  Previsto   26 Aug-28 Aug  080/080/075
  Media de 90 Días        25 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Aug  004/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Aug  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Aug-28 Aug  005/008-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Aug a 28 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%30%30%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%40%40%
Tormenta Menor10%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%10%10%

All times in UTC

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