Viendo archivo del sábado, 2 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 02 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 245 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. An isolated active period
was observed at middle latitudes between 01/2100 to 2400 UTC due to
a prolonged period of southward Bz.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with isolated minor storm periods
possible on 03 - 04 September due to a coronal hole high speed
stream moving into geoeffective position. On 05 September,
conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Sep a 05 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Sep 076 Previsto 03 Sep-05 Sep 075/075/080 Media de 90 Días 02 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Sep 008/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Sep 006/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Sep-05 Sep 012/020-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Sep a 05 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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