Viendo archivo del viernes, 29 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 29 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 272 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity remains at very low levels. New Region
915 (S06W46) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels today. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled to active levels. Isolated
minor storm conditions are possible on 30 September and 01 October
due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected to return on 02 October as the
coronal hole wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Sep a 02 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Sep 077 Previsto 30 Sep-02 Oct 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 29 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Sep 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Sep 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Sep-02 Oct 015/020-015/015-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Sep a 02 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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