Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 septiembre 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 08 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 251 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Sep 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 909 (S09W04) produced a long duration B5 event at 08/1058 UTC. LASCO imagery observed a faint halo CME, however, data was too scarce to be sure about the event. There were three low level B-class flares reported during the observed period, but no direct correlation can be made with the CME activity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for an isolated C-class event from Region 909.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet. Quiet to unsettled conditions are possible for 11 September due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Sep a 11 Sep
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Sep 087
  Previsto   09 Sep-11 Sep  085/085/085
  Media de 90 Días        08 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Sep  005/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Sep  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Sep-11 Sep  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Sep a 11 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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