Viendo archivo del sábado, 12 agosto 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 12 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 224 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Aug 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted of a few, low-level B-class flares. Region 903 (S13E38) continues to be large, but has simplified magnetically with the consolidation of the leader spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next three days. There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class event sometime during the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Aug a 15 Aug
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       12 Aug 085
  Previsto   13 Aug-15 Aug  085/085/085
  Media de 90 Días        12 Aug 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 11 Aug  003/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 12 Aug  007/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 13 Aug-15 Aug  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Aug a 15 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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