Viendo archivo del domingo, 10 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 10 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 253 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 909 (S11W30)
produced a long duration B6 event at 10/0723 UTC.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for 12-13 September due to
possible effects from a coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet
conditions are expected for 14 September.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Sep a 13 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Sep 087 Previsto 11 Sep-13 Sep 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 10 Sep 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Sep 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Sep 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Sep-13 Sep 008/008-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Sep a 13 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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