Viendo archivo del lunes, 14 agosto 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 14 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 226 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Aug 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted of a couple B-class events from Region 904 (S13E11). The region showed some slow growth today and appears to be slightly increasing in magnetic complexity in the trailer portion of the group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next three days (15-17 August). There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (15-17 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Aug a 17 Aug
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       14 Aug 086
  Previsto   15 Aug-17 Aug  086/086/086
  Media de 90 Días        14 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 13 Aug  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 14 Aug  003/003
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 15 Aug-17 Aug  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Aug a 17 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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