Viendo archivo del sábado, 16 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 16 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 259 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Only B-class activity has
been observed for the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (17 - 19 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for active periods
on 17 - 18 September due to a geoeffective coronal hole high speed
stream. Mostly quiet conditions are expected on 19 September.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Sep a 19 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Sep 079 Previsto 17 Sep-19 Sep 078/075/075 Media de 90 Días 16 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Sep 000/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Sep 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Sep-19 Sep 010/015-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Sep a 19 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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