Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 octubre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Oct 13 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 286 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Oct 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The solar disk remains
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed started
to increase late on 12 October due to a geoeffective coronal hole
high speed stream, and continued to rise throughout the reporting
period. At time of issue, the solar wind speed was approximately
520 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for isolated minor
storm periods on 14 October due to the coronal hole high speed
stream. Expect mostly quiet to unsettled conditions on 15 - 16
October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Oct a 16 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Oct 073 Previsto 14 Oct-16 Oct 072/070/070 Media de 90 Días 13 Oct 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Oct 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Oct 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Oct-16 Oct 015/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Oct a 16 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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