Viendo archivo del martes, 19 septiembre 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 19 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 262 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Sep 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 910 (S09E37) produced occasional B-class flares. A weak Type II radio sweep was observed at 18/2356Z, which was associated with a faint CME from Region 910. The CME is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 910.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The disturbed periods were in response to a high speed coronal hole stream. Solar wind speed was near 650 km/s, but gradually declined to under 500 km/s by the end of the period. The greater than 2MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Sep a 22 Sep
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Sep 073
  Previsto   20 Sep-22 Sep  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        19 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Sep  016/024
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Sep  012/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Sep-22 Sep  008/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Sep a 22 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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