Viendo archivo del miércoles, 20 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 20 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 263 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 910 (S09E24)
contains the lone sunspot on the visible disk today. No activity of
note was observed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with isolated unsettled conditions.
Solar wind speed has declined to below 380 km/s. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 21 and 22 September. A recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream is expected to rotate into geoeffective
position on 23 September and produce occasional active to minor
storm periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Sep 071 Previsto 21 Sep-23 Sep 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 20 Sep 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Sep 008/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Sep-23 Sep 005/005-005/005-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Sep a 23 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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