Viendo archivo del miércoles, 18 octubre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Oct 18 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 291 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Oct 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. There are
no sunspots on the visible disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed declined to below
320 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled periods on 19 October.
A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to rotate
into a geoeffective position on 20 October, and produce active to
minor storm periods on both the 20th and 21st.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Oct a 21 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Oct 070 Previsto 19 Oct-21 Oct 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 18 Oct 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Oct 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Oct 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Oct-21 Oct 005/008-015/020-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Oct a 21 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 50% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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