Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 10 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 314 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 923 (S06E58) has
not produced any activity over the past 24 hours. Region 921 has
rotated off the solar disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to major storm levels.
Elevated solar wind speed due to the coronal hole high speed stream,
combined with Bz varying between +/- 10 nT, produced multiple major
storm periods at high latitudes. Solar wind speed remains elevated
at approximately 600 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on 11 November as the coronal
hole high speed stream wanes. Expect quiet to unsettled conditions
on 12-13 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Nov a 13 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Nov 091 Previsto 11 Nov-13 Nov 090/085/085 Media de 90 Días 10 Nov 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Nov 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Nov 030/040 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Nov-13 Nov 010/015-005/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Nov a 13 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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