Viendo archivo del jueves, 9 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 09 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 313 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 923 (S06E58)
produced several B-class flares over the past 24 hours. Region 921
(S06W78) is in decay and has not produced any activity today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There remains a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from
Region 923.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed has
been steadily increasing throughout the day as the recurrent coronal
hole moves into geoeffective position, reaching approximately 400
km/s at time of issue. The IMF strength also increased to
approximately 20 nT, and the Bz component varied between +/- 10 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for isolated minor
storm periods on 10 November due to the coronal hole high speed
stream. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 11-12
November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Nov a 12 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Nov 089 Previsto 10 Nov-12 Nov 090/085/085 Media de 90 Días 09 Nov 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Nov 000/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Nov 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Nov-12 Nov 010/020-007/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Nov a 12 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 11% | 11% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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