Viendo archivo del jueves, 16 noviembre 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 16 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 320 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Nov 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. Region 923 (S05W33) exhibits emergence of new flux just to the NE of its large penumbra.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Regions 923 (S05W33) and 924 (S08E16) continue to have the potential for isolated C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with one period of minor storming associated with a period of southward Bz.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to unsettled due to a recurrent high speed stream. An occasional active period is possible.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Nov a 19 Nov
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Nov 094
  Previsto   17 Nov-19 Nov  095/095/095
  Media de 90 Días        16 Nov 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Nov  006/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Nov  005/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov  010/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Nov a 19 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%25%
Tormenta Menor15%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%35%30%
Tormenta Menor20%20%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%05%

All times in UTC

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