Viendo archivo del martes, 2 enero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 02 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 002 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jan 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 933 (S03E40) has
produced only B-class activity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from
Region 933.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been unsettled to active, with a single
minor storm period observed at high latitudes. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of approximately 650 km/s today, and remains elevated
at 550 km/s due to the coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for isolated minor
storm periods at high latitudes on 03 - 04 January due to the
coronal hole high speed stream. Expect mostly unsettled conditions
on 05 January.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jan 090 Previsto 03 Jan-05 Jan 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 02 Jan 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jan 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jan 018/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jan-05 Jan 015/025-010/015-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jan a 05 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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