Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 enero 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 29 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 029 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jan 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 940 (S05E35) produced a C3/SF flare at 29/1656Z. Newly numbered Region 941 (S09E69) is classified as an Hsx Alpha group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low with a slight chance for an isolated M-class event from Region 940.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Major and severe storm conditions were observed at high latitudes. A co-rotating interaction region indicating the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream was observed at ACE starting at approximately 1000Z. Solar wind speed increased to approximately 700 km/s as the IMF increased to 20 nT and the Bz component varied between +/- 15 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active for the next three days. Isolated minor to major storm periods are possible on 30-31 January due to the coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jan a 01 Feb
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 Jan 087
  Previsto   30 Jan-01 Feb  090/090/090
  Media de 90 Días        29 Jan 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jan  002/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 29 Jan  020/020
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb  015/020-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jan a 01 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%25%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%25%20%
Tormenta Menor20%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%10%05%

All times in UTC

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