Viendo archivo del sábado, 20 enero 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 20 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 020 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Jan 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. New Region 939 (S03W17) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with isolated C-flare activity possible from Region 939.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed at ACE has decreased from approximately 650 km/s to 580 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Jan a 23 Jan
Clase M01%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       20 Jan 079
  Previsto   21 Jan-23 Jan  080/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        20 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 19 Jan  009/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 20 Jan  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 21 Jan-23 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Jan a 23 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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