Viendo archivo del viernes, 16 febrero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Feb 16 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 047 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Feb 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity reached low levels. A C1.7 flare
occurred at 16/0156 UTC, which likely originated from newly numbered
Region 942 (S13E69).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 942.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed at ACE decreased
from approximately 640 km/s to 520 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Feb a 19 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Feb 075 Previsto 17 Feb-19 Feb 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 16 Feb 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Feb 015/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Feb 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Feb-19 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Feb a 19 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 26% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 04% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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