Viendo archivo del viernes, 16 febrero 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Feb 16 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 047 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Feb 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z

Solar activity reached low levels. A C1.7 flare occurred at 16/0156 UTC, which likely originated from newly numbered Region 942 (S13E69).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 942.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed at ACE decreased from approximately 640 km/s to 520 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Feb a 19 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Feb 075
  Previsto   17 Feb-19 Feb  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        16 Feb 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Feb  015/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Feb  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Feb-19 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Feb a 19 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%26%15%
Tormenta Menor10%15%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%04%01%

All times in UTC

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