Viendo archivo del martes, 30 enero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 30 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 030 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jan 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 940 (S04E21)
produced two C-class flares during the past 24 hours. Region 941
(S06E56) has remained quiescent.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
There is a slight chance for an M-class event from Region 940.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to minor storm levels.
Solar wind speed remains elevated at approximately 650 km/s due to
the coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storm
periods on 31 January. Mostly unsettled conditions with isolated
active periods are expected on 01-02 February.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Jan a 02 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jan 088 Previsto 31 Jan-02 Feb 090/090/085 Media de 90 Días 30 Jan 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jan 019/036 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jan 020/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Jan-02 Feb 015/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Jan a 02 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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