Viendo archivo del martes, 30 enero 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 30 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 030 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jan 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. Region 940 (S04E21) produced two C-class flares during the past 24 hours. Region 941 (S06E56) has remained quiescent.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low. There is a slight chance for an M-class event from Region 940.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to minor storm levels. Solar wind speed remains elevated at approximately 650 km/s due to the coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storm periods on 31 January. Mostly unsettled conditions with isolated active periods are expected on 01-02 February.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Jan a 02 Feb
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       30 Jan 088
  Previsto   31 Jan-02 Feb  090/090/085
  Media de 90 Días        30 Jan 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jan  019/036
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 30 Jan  020/020
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 31 Jan-02 Feb  015/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Jan a 02 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%25%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%30%25%
Tormenta Menor20%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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