Viendo archivo del sábado, 17 febrero 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Feb 17 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 048 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Feb 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The sole spot group, Region 942 (S11E55), was quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to slightly unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet through February 20.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Feb a 20 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 Feb 075
  Previsto   18 Feb-20 Feb  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        17 Feb 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 16 Feb  006/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 17 Feb  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 18 Feb-20 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Feb a 20 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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