Viendo archivo del sábado, 19 mayo 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 19 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 139 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 May 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 956 (N02W06)
produced several B-class flares during the past 24 hours, the
largest of which was a B9 flare at 19/1302Z. A disappearing solar
filament was observed from this region starting at 19/1231Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar acitivity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. The solar wind
speed remains elevated at approximately 600 km/s due to the coronal
hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with possible active periods
during local nighttime hours on 20 May. Expect mostly quiet
conditions on 21 - 22 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 May a 22 May
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 May 075 Previsto 20 May-22 May 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 19 May 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 May 015/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 May 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 May-22 May 008/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 May a 22 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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