Viendo archivo del viernes, 18 mayo 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 18 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 138 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 May 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 956 (N03E07)
continues to display a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration, but
has not produced any flares during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. Solar wind speed
increased to approximately 600 km/s during the past 12 hours,
indicating the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storm
periods on 19 May due to the coronal hole high speed stream. Expect
quiet to unsettled conditions on 20 - 21 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 May a 21 May
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 May 076 Previsto 19 May-21 May 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 18 May 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 May 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 May 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 May-21 May 010/020-008/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 May a 21 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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